A new KING 5 poll finds this fall’s referendum on gay marriage could be extremely close, along with several other ballot measures.
Referendum 74 asks voters to approve or reject a law passed by the legislature this year to allow same-sex marriages. In a new KING 5 poll, 50% say they’d approve the referendum, while 43% say they’d reject it. Only 7% tell SurveyUSA they’re undecided on this issue.
Historically, undecided votes on ballot measures are more likely to lean “no” if they aren’t swayed by election day. Early polling gives an indication of where initiatives begin and how much cushion they have.
Tim Eyman’s initiative restating the requirement that two-thirds of the legislature must approve tax hikes, begins with a strong lead with 56% saying they’ll approve vs. 19% reject.
The initiative to legalize and regulate marijuana has 55% support, but 32% already say they’ll vote no.
Meanwhile, an initiative to allow 40 charter schools is the only ballot measure that isn’t starting above the 50% mark. SurveyUSA finds 46% would vote yes, while 29% would vote no. On charter schools, 24% say they’re undecided.
The poll of 630 registered voters across Washington state was taken July 16-17 over landlines and cell phones. The poll has a margin of +/- 4%.